Cognitive biases: science says we're smart stupid, not stupid stupid
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If it walks like a
If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck, it's this video
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Thanks to Cliff, Vadim, Kate and Amber for their input.
Sources:
Bar-Hillel, Maia; Neter, Efrat. “How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A DisjunctionFallacy in Probability Judgments”.
Chapman, Gretchen B; Johnson, Eric. “Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value”.
Gigerenzer, Gerd. How do smart people make smart decisions?
https://www.seevid.ir/fa/w/-Lg7G8TMe_A
Gigerenzer, Gerd. How to Stay Smart in a Smart World.
https://www.seevid.ir/fa/w/s-xHvfScG_c
Gilovich, Thomas; Griffin, Dale; Kahneman, Daniel: editors. “Heuristics and biases : the psychology of intuitive judgment.”
Haselton, Martie G.; Nettle, Daniel; Andrews, Paul W. “The Evolution of Cognitive Bias”.
Kahneman, Daniel. “Thinking, Fast and Slow”.
Northcraft, Gregory B.; Neale, Margaret A. “Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions”. Gregory B Northcraft, Margaret A Neale
Shulman, Ekaterina. Lecture: “Cognitive Distortions" https://www.seevid.ir/fa/w/u0KQdBUaHMc
Tversky, Amos; Kahneman, Daniel. “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases”.
additional references:
https://medium.com/purple-theory/vending-machines-vs-sharks-3e2362d762fa
https://slate.com/technology/2022/07/sharks-vending-machines-death.html#:~:text=Overall%2C%20it%20seems%20like%20the,%2C”%20Daly%2DEngel%20said.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/sharks-half-51-americans-are-absolutely-terrified-them-and-many-38-scared-swim-ocean-because-them
https://gwern.net/doc/psychology/1981-svenson.pdf
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11395196/
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15877763/#:~:text=Conclusions%3A%20The%20significance%20of%20this,in%20the%20incidence%20of%20ASD.
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