Ukraine vs Russia - Who wins a war of hardware attrition?
805.3 هزار بار بازدید -
2 سال پیش
-
Description: Continuing on from our
Description:
Continuing on from our look at the relative economic power of Russia as compared to Ukraine and its supporters in NATO, today I look a little more at the question of military equipment resupply specifically.
I try to break down the scale of the Russian army's equipment reserve and contrast that with the way we have seen, and can expect to see, the resupply effort evolve on the Ukrainian side of this fight.
I also look at the military industrial capability that sits behind these powers, and the role it might play in the event this conflict stretches to be a matter of months and years, rather than weeks.
I want to stress that this video is not a prediction of a long war, I make no prediction on that point, it's just an attempt to continue looking at a question I have not seen covered in great depth - how might this war evolve if the conflict does go on.
NATO Expenditure data and definitions can be found here:
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/ne...
Corrections:
Since recording this video, I've fallen sick and can't record addenda without holding the release process up, so I include one correction here.
While I reference statements by the US DoD that Ukraine has been supplied with entirely new aircraft (not just parts), those statements have been subsequently retracted. The current line put out by the USA and Ukraine is that, as of the 20th of April, Ukraine has not been supplied with any new fighter aircraft or airframes of that kind.
Contact Email for news and information submissions:
[email protected]
Patreon:
Patreon: PerunAU
Timestamps (Thanks to NIibblrrr as always!)
00:00 Introduction
00:40 Where are we now?
01:46 A note on the coming offensive
02:55 War is not just a question of materiel
03:47 But materiel is important – particularly in conventional conflict
04:57 How am I going to cover the materiel question?
05:33 Phases of materiel use
06:47 The Russian position
09:34 Russian endurance hinges on reserved equipment
11:23 Russian reserves are deeper than Ukraine's
12:19 Ukraine is not alone
13:24 And that's an issue if this goes long
14:36 Resupply – the limiting factors
16:15 Equipment is not "capability"
17:49 POTENTIAL PHASES OF MATERIEL RESUPPLY
18:55 Phase 1 – Going at it alone
19:34 Phase 2 – Shouldering the burden
21:08 Phase 3 – From Warsaw with Love
24:42 Phase 4 – NATO standard
27:58 Phase 5 – Take it to scale
28:22 PRODUCTIVE CAPACITY — Assessing productive capacity is hard
29:54 The Russian defence industry
31:50 Challenges for Russian defence
34:12 Challenges for Russian defence (pt.2)
35:43 What about NATO?
36:59 So what about our factors?
37:13 Meeting demand
39:57 SO, WHAT NEXT? — What next for the West?
43:06 What does that look like?
44:46 Time for some heresy
46:08 KEY TAKEAWAYS
49:50 ADDITION: What has this looked like?
51:39 capability support
52:36 foreign training
54:00 outro
54:10 CHANNEL UPDATE
55:16 audio, captions
56:02 propaganda best of
56:36 Who are you?
58:09 100k subscribers
58:46 thank you
Continuing on from our look at the relative economic power of Russia as compared to Ukraine and its supporters in NATO, today I look a little more at the question of military equipment resupply specifically.
I try to break down the scale of the Russian army's equipment reserve and contrast that with the way we have seen, and can expect to see, the resupply effort evolve on the Ukrainian side of this fight.
I also look at the military industrial capability that sits behind these powers, and the role it might play in the event this conflict stretches to be a matter of months and years, rather than weeks.
I want to stress that this video is not a prediction of a long war, I make no prediction on that point, it's just an attempt to continue looking at a question I have not seen covered in great depth - how might this war evolve if the conflict does go on.
NATO Expenditure data and definitions can be found here:
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/ne...
Corrections:
Since recording this video, I've fallen sick and can't record addenda without holding the release process up, so I include one correction here.
While I reference statements by the US DoD that Ukraine has been supplied with entirely new aircraft (not just parts), those statements have been subsequently retracted. The current line put out by the USA and Ukraine is that, as of the 20th of April, Ukraine has not been supplied with any new fighter aircraft or airframes of that kind.
Contact Email for news and information submissions:
[email protected]
Patreon:
Patreon: PerunAU
Timestamps (Thanks to NIibblrrr as always!)
00:00 Introduction
00:40 Where are we now?
01:46 A note on the coming offensive
02:55 War is not just a question of materiel
03:47 But materiel is important – particularly in conventional conflict
04:57 How am I going to cover the materiel question?
05:33 Phases of materiel use
06:47 The Russian position
09:34 Russian endurance hinges on reserved equipment
11:23 Russian reserves are deeper than Ukraine's
12:19 Ukraine is not alone
13:24 And that's an issue if this goes long
14:36 Resupply – the limiting factors
16:15 Equipment is not "capability"
17:49 POTENTIAL PHASES OF MATERIEL RESUPPLY
18:55 Phase 1 – Going at it alone
19:34 Phase 2 – Shouldering the burden
21:08 Phase 3 – From Warsaw with Love
24:42 Phase 4 – NATO standard
27:58 Phase 5 – Take it to scale
28:22 PRODUCTIVE CAPACITY — Assessing productive capacity is hard
29:54 The Russian defence industry
31:50 Challenges for Russian defence
34:12 Challenges for Russian defence (pt.2)
35:43 What about NATO?
36:59 So what about our factors?
37:13 Meeting demand
39:57 SO, WHAT NEXT? — What next for the West?
43:06 What does that look like?
44:46 Time for some heresy
46:08 KEY TAKEAWAYS
49:50 ADDITION: What has this looked like?
51:39 capability support
52:36 foreign training
54:00 outro
54:10 CHANNEL UPDATE
55:16 audio, captions
56:02 propaganda best of
56:36 Who are you?
58:09 100k subscribers
58:46 thank you
2 سال پیش
در تاریخ 1401/02/02 منتشر شده
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