Market ON FIRE: Cem Karsan Explains the RED-HOT Rally
9.5 هزار بار بازدید -
2 ماه پیش
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🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for
🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility Advisors, joins Ash Bennington to share his long-term macro framework. Cem analyzes the potential societal and market implications of current monetary policy, highlighting key dates and data to watch moving forward. Plus, he explains how the options market increasingly influences active market trends.
This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore from 18 to 19 September. Balaji Srinivasan, Solana’s Anatoly, Arthur Hayes, and over 250 others will hit the stage, as TOKEN2049 takes over the iconic Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. With over 500 side events during TOKEN2049 Week, Singapore will transform into a crypto hub from 16 to 22 September, capped off by AFTER 2049, and the Formula 1 Grand Prix race weekend. Everyone will be there – this is the one event you can’t miss this year.
🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’.
Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at [email protected] for advertising inquiries.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Sponsor: Token2049
00:37 - Ash Bennington introduces Cem Karsan
01:00 - Current Market Overview: S&P 500 and NASDAQ Performance
01:33 - Comparison to 2017 Market Environment
02:06 - Historical Low Volatility and Correlation in 2017
02:38 - Structured Products and Market Impact
03:08 - Structured Product Demand Driving Volatility Supply
03:41 - Consistent Market Buying Due to Structural Phenomena
04:10 - S&P 500 Equal Weight Performance
04:38 - Understanding Market Dynamics and Price Action
05:11 - Trading Volume in Index vs. Constituents
06:12 - Example: Nvidia's Earnings Impact
06:48 - Correlation and Dispersion in the Market
07:21 - Mechanical Arbitrage and Market Impact
08:58 - Volatility Suppression and Increased Underlying Volatility
09:32 - Consequences of Volatility Compression
10:04 - Speculating in Zero DTE Options
11:05 - Risks of Excessive Speculation and Leverage
12:14 - Potential for Volatile Explosions
12:46 - Real Vision Community Invitation
13:09 - Historical Context: LTCM and XIV Collapse
14:21 - Overleveraged Entities and Market Impacts
15:43 - Risks Concentrated in Zero DTE Options
16:42 - Zero DTE Options Explained
17:22 - Institutions Using Zero DTE for Hedging
18:36 - Market Maker Challenges with Zero DTE
19:37 - Profitable Speculation in Zero DTE Options
20:10 - Realized vs. Implied Volatility in Zero DTE
21:09 - Foundational Knowledge: Gamma and Delta in Options
22:06 - Market Maker Hedging and Reflexive Effects
24:58 - Gamma's Impact on Market Volatility
25:33 - Zero DTE Options and Market Dynamics
26:38 - Reflexive Loop in Zero DTE Hedging
27:16 - Current Market Dynamics and Structural Risks
28:24 - Macro Factors: Dollar Strength and Emerging Markets
30:07 - Distribution of Volatility Outcomes
31:12 - Potential Market Wobble Scenarios
32:12 - Speed and Acceleration in Market Movements
34:01 - High Frequency Data and Volatility Hedging
35:10 - Short-term vs. Long-term Market Outcomes
36:14 - Structural Time and Sumo Market Analogy
38:23 - Realities and Fundamentals in Market Pricing
39:19 - Potential Structural Issues and Volatility
40:23 - Federal Reserve's Position and Structural Problems
41:30 - Market Machine and Volatility Cycles
43:24 - Fundamentals vs. Short-term Market Flows
44:31 - Voting Machine vs. Weighing Machine in Markets
45:36 - Near-term Market Outlook: Summer of George
47:15 - Expected Market Rally and Volatility into August
49:51 - Potential Market Pullback and Rally Scenario
52:34 - Strategy: Long-dated Calls and Short-dated Options
53:02 - Summary and Final Thoughts on Market Structure
53:29 - Historical Election Year Market Performance
54:44 - End of Year Market Flows and Wealth Effect
55:49 - Closing Remarks and Real Vision Invitation
About Real Vision™:
We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey.
Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at [email protected] to explore advertising possibilities.
🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw
#realvision #financialmarkets #macro #macroeconomics #finance #financialfreedom #financialeducation #financialliteracy #stockmarket #marketresearch #bullmarket
Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter
Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram
Facebook: https://rvtv.io/facebook
Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin
Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231...
This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore from 18 to 19 September. Balaji Srinivasan, Solana’s Anatoly, Arthur Hayes, and over 250 others will hit the stage, as TOKEN2049 takes over the iconic Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. With over 500 side events during TOKEN2049 Week, Singapore will transform into a crypto hub from 16 to 22 September, capped off by AFTER 2049, and the Formula 1 Grand Prix race weekend. Everyone will be there – this is the one event you can’t miss this year.
🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’.
Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at [email protected] for advertising inquiries.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Sponsor: Token2049
00:37 - Ash Bennington introduces Cem Karsan
01:00 - Current Market Overview: S&P 500 and NASDAQ Performance
01:33 - Comparison to 2017 Market Environment
02:06 - Historical Low Volatility and Correlation in 2017
02:38 - Structured Products and Market Impact
03:08 - Structured Product Demand Driving Volatility Supply
03:41 - Consistent Market Buying Due to Structural Phenomena
04:10 - S&P 500 Equal Weight Performance
04:38 - Understanding Market Dynamics and Price Action
05:11 - Trading Volume in Index vs. Constituents
06:12 - Example: Nvidia's Earnings Impact
06:48 - Correlation and Dispersion in the Market
07:21 - Mechanical Arbitrage and Market Impact
08:58 - Volatility Suppression and Increased Underlying Volatility
09:32 - Consequences of Volatility Compression
10:04 - Speculating in Zero DTE Options
11:05 - Risks of Excessive Speculation and Leverage
12:14 - Potential for Volatile Explosions
12:46 - Real Vision Community Invitation
13:09 - Historical Context: LTCM and XIV Collapse
14:21 - Overleveraged Entities and Market Impacts
15:43 - Risks Concentrated in Zero DTE Options
16:42 - Zero DTE Options Explained
17:22 - Institutions Using Zero DTE for Hedging
18:36 - Market Maker Challenges with Zero DTE
19:37 - Profitable Speculation in Zero DTE Options
20:10 - Realized vs. Implied Volatility in Zero DTE
21:09 - Foundational Knowledge: Gamma and Delta in Options
22:06 - Market Maker Hedging and Reflexive Effects
24:58 - Gamma's Impact on Market Volatility
25:33 - Zero DTE Options and Market Dynamics
26:38 - Reflexive Loop in Zero DTE Hedging
27:16 - Current Market Dynamics and Structural Risks
28:24 - Macro Factors: Dollar Strength and Emerging Markets
30:07 - Distribution of Volatility Outcomes
31:12 - Potential Market Wobble Scenarios
32:12 - Speed and Acceleration in Market Movements
34:01 - High Frequency Data and Volatility Hedging
35:10 - Short-term vs. Long-term Market Outcomes
36:14 - Structural Time and Sumo Market Analogy
38:23 - Realities and Fundamentals in Market Pricing
39:19 - Potential Structural Issues and Volatility
40:23 - Federal Reserve's Position and Structural Problems
41:30 - Market Machine and Volatility Cycles
43:24 - Fundamentals vs. Short-term Market Flows
44:31 - Voting Machine vs. Weighing Machine in Markets
45:36 - Near-term Market Outlook: Summer of George
47:15 - Expected Market Rally and Volatility into August
49:51 - Potential Market Pullback and Rally Scenario
52:34 - Strategy: Long-dated Calls and Short-dated Options
53:02 - Summary and Final Thoughts on Market Structure
53:29 - Historical Election Year Market Performance
54:44 - End of Year Market Flows and Wealth Effect
55:49 - Closing Remarks and Real Vision Invitation
About Real Vision™:
We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey.
Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at [email protected] to explore advertising possibilities.
🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw
#realvision #financialmarkets #macro #macroeconomics #finance #financialfreedom #financialeducation #financialliteracy #stockmarket #marketresearch #bullmarket
Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter
Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram
Facebook: https://rvtv.io/facebook
Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin
Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231...
2 ماه پیش
در تاریخ 1403/04/27 منتشر شده
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